Scouting Report
Tyson Kozak holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Kozak 49.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 75.1%
Defensive zone
Kozak 53.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 63.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Rodrigues
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rodrigues
Kozak
Last 5: Rodrigues 1-4 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
2
Rodrigues
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
2
Rodrigues
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
49.3% (294)
-1.4%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
60.0% (5)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
50.0% (40)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kozak
Home
48.3% (429)
45.5% (145)
Away
45.4% (346)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kozak
P1
48.3%
53.4%
P2
46.9%
50.0%
P3
45.6%
44.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |