Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.9% vs Rask 47.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 72.3%
Defensive zone
Rask 51.6%
Neutral zone
Rask 63.2%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Rodrigues
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Rodrigues
Rask
Last 6: Rodrigues 4-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (560)
46.6% (397)
+0.0%
Power Play
42.4% (59)
58.1% (31)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (36)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On power play, Rask has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Rodrigues shoots right. Rask is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Rask
Home
48.5% (379)
50.0% (202)
Away
43.5% (276)
45.2% (228)
By Period
Rodrigues
Rask
P1
48.8%
51.1%
P2
43.8%
43.2%
P3
45.6%
48.5%
Final 5 min
40.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |