Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Rask 50.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 89.6%
Defensive zone
Rask 69.0%
Neutral zone
Rask 82.9%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Rodrigues
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Rodrigues
Rask
Last 9: Rodrigues 7-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
0
Rodrigues
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
50.0% (4,428)
-3.8%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
54.3% (363)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
35.2% (54)
+7.7%
On power play, Rask has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Rask
Home
47.1% (1,820)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Rodrigues
Rask
P1
46.9%
50.7%
P2
46.1%
48.9%
P3
44.6%
50.7%
OT
48.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |