Evan Rodrigues vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 54.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 52.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 62.0%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Rodrigues
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Rodrigues
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
58.5% (135)
-10.6%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
80.0% (5)
-32.1%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
44.4% (18)
-7.1%
On power play, Karlsson has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Karlsson
Home
48.3% (429)
63.7% (91)
Away
45.4% (346)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Rodrigues
Karlsson
P1
48.3%
54.4%
P2
46.9%
66.7%
P3
45.6%
51.9%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | William Karlsson |