Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kane wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 45.1% vs Paul 52.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 54.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 97.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 82.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Kane
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kane
Paul
Last 5: Kane 4-1 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
3
0
Kane
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kane
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kane
1
0
Kane
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,039)
52.5% (3,796)
-8.3%
Power Play
46.1% (360)
56.5% (480)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (79)
46.7% (574)
+0.1%
On power play, Paul has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kane is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Kane shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Kane
Paul
Home
45.8% (756)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
43.8% (722)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Kane
Paul
P1
44.4%
53.9%
P2
45.3%
51.0%
P3
45.2%
52.0%
OT
38.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Evander Kane |