Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Kane wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 45.1% vs Kesler 55.9% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kane 86.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 87.0%
Neutral zone
Kane 56.2%
Result
Evander Kane favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Kane
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Kane
Kesler
Last 10: Kane 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
6
1
Kane
Kesler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Kane
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Kane
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,039)
56.4% (8,095)
-12.2%
Power Play
46.1% (360)
60.7% (1,437)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (79)
50.5% (1,908)
-3.7%
On power play, Kesler has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Kane is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (625).
Kane shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Kane
Kesler
Home
45.8% (756)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
43.8% (722)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Kane
Kesler
P1
44.4%
56.5%
P2
45.3%
55.9%
P3
45.2%
56.1%
OT
38.6%
46.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 17, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 10:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Evander Kane |