Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kane wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 45.1% vs Smith 50.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kane 86.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 90.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.4%
Result
Evander Kane favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Kane
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kane
Smith
Last 8: Kane 4-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
3
1
Kane
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Kane
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kane
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,039)
51.6% (5,265)
-7.4%
Power Play
46.1% (360)
51.2% (342)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (79)
45.3% (985)
+1.5%
On even strength, Smith has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Kane is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Kane shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Kane
Smith
Home
45.8% (756)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
43.8% (722)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Kane
Smith
P1
44.4%
49.9%
P2
45.3%
50.0%
P3
45.2%
51.9%
OT
38.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Evander Kane |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 04:11 | Offensive | Evander Kane |