Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Laferriere on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.2% vs Malkin 46.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 82.7%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 55.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.3%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Laferriere
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Laferriere
Malkin
Last 5: Laferriere 4-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
3
0
Laferriere
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (322)
45.7% (219)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
34.6% (26)
+18.3%
On power play, Laferriere has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Laferriere is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Laferriere shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Malkin
Home
40.3% (201)
50.4% (113)
Away
42.8% (208)
39.4% (132)
By Period
Laferriere
Malkin
P1
33.1%
47.7%
P2
40.0%
44.9%
P3
48.2%
40.0%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
41.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |