Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Malkin 46.4% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 55.3%
Defensive zone
Copp 85.9%
Neutral zone
Copp 59.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Copp
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Copp
Malkin
Last 7: Copp 5-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Copp
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
0
Copp
Malkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
45.5% (602)
+5.7%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
50.0% (30)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
100.0% (1)
-52.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Copp
Malkin
Home
52.0% (348)
47.5% (326)
Away
49.1% (279)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Copp
Malkin
P1
48.4%
49.3%
P2
50.2%
44.7%
P3
53.4%
42.3%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |