Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Malkin 49.4% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 62.7%
Defensive zone
Point 66.5%
Neutral zone
Point 71.7%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Point
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Point
Malkin
Last 9: Point 8-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
4
1
Point
Malkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
49.0% (811)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
55.8% (43)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Point
Malkin
Home
53.3% (394)
52.3% (438)
Away
48.4% (428)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Point
Malkin
P1
49.8%
51.3%
P2
53.0%
50.8%
P3
49.6%
45.0%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Brayden Point |