Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.1% vs Malkin 43.9% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.4%
Defensive zone
Malkin 51.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Little
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Little
Malkin
Last 6: Little 2-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Little
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Little
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (847)
42.7% (827)
+14.6%
Power Play
57.5% (160)
63.2% (19)
-5.7%
On even strength, Little has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Little is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Little shoots right. Malkin is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Little
Malkin
Home
56.7% (575)
45.1% (426)
Away
54.4% (522)
41.2% (420)
By Period
Little
Malkin
P1
55.4%
41.3%
P2
53.9%
44.0%
P3
57.6%
44.7%
OT
58.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
55.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2017 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 16, 2017 | OT | 03:00 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |