Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.3%). Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Malkin 50.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 61.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 87.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 66.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Tierney
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tierney
Malkin
Last 7: Tierney 5-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Tierney
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
0
Tierney
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
50.5% (774)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
53.3% (92)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
10.0% (10)
+41.1%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Tierney is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Tierney shoots left. Malkin is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Tierney
Malkin
Home
48.6% (552)
49.1% (411)
Away
54.3% (466)
51.4% (465)
By Period
Tierney
Malkin
P1
51.3%
49.5%
P2
46.5%
54.7%
P3
55.3%
46.7%
OT
60.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 30, 2019 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 30, 2019 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 30, 2019 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 30, 2019 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |