Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.6% vs 43.5%). Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Roslovic 44.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 51.2%
Defensive zone
Malkin 54.1%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 51.7%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Malkin
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Malkin
Roslovic
Last 8: Malkin 3-5 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
2
Malkin
Roslovic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
1
Malkin
Roslovic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Roslovic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
42.9% (739)
+1.1%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
54.8% (84)
-24.8%
On power play, Roslovic has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Malkin
Roslovic
Home
45.5% (202)
41.6% (442)
Away
41.4% (174)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Malkin
Roslovic
P1
48.4%
44.9%
P2
41.7%
43.8%
P3
40.4%
41.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |