Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Carter 53.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 89.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 77.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 86.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Malkin
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Malkin
Carter
Last 10: Malkin 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
4
Malkin
Carter
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
7
Malkin
Carter
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Malkin
Carter
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
53.3% (8,728)
-7.7%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
57.3% (1,554)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
46.3% (1,087)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Malkin
Carter
Home
47.6% (5,395)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Malkin
Carter
P1
45.9%
53.6%
P2
46.2%
52.8%
P3
45.2%
53.1%
OT
49.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 11, 2015 | OT | 01:06 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |