Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Carter 58.5% (-10.1%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 88.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 89.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Malkin
Carter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
59.7% (727)
-10.7%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
68.1% (72)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
53.2% (139)
-3.2%
On power play, Carter has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Malkin
Carter
Home
52.3% (438)
58.7% (455)
Away
46.2% (418)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Malkin
Carter
P1
51.3%
61.3%
P2
50.8%
57.1%
P3
45.0%
59.8%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%