Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Boqvist 41.6% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 89.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 59.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 77.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Malkin
Boqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Malkin
Boqvist
Last 5: Malkin 4-1 Boqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Boqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Boqvist
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Boqvist
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
35.0% (140)
+12.9%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
50.0% (2)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Malkin has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boqvist shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Boqvist is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Malkin
Boqvist
Home
49.6% (405)
37.6% (93)
Away
47.5% (396)
32.0% (50)
By Period
Malkin
Boqvist
P1
49.6%
28.6%
P2
47.2%
34.8%
P3
48.5%
41.0%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |