Evgeni Malkin vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 58.5%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 54.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Malkin
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Malkin
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
6
4
Malkin
Kotkaniemi
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
5
Malkin
Kotkaniemi
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
6
Malkin
Kotkaniemi
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
49.0% (3,852)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
51.3% (351)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
45.7% (35)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kotkaniemi
Home
47.6% (5,395)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Malkin
Kotkaniemi
P1
45.9%
49.9%
P2
46.2%
50.4%
P3
45.2%
47.2%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |