Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Colborne 48.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 50.3%
Defensive zone
Colborne 71.5%
Neutral zone
Colborne 59.1%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Malkin
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Malkin
Colborne
Last 6: Malkin 5-1 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Colborne
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
0
1
Malkin
Colborne
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Colborne
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
47.7% (960)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
52.4% (170)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
54.3% (35)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Colborne is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Malkin
Colborne
Home
47.6% (5,395)
56.1% (569)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
41.4% (596)
By Period
Malkin
Colborne
P1
45.9%
50.3%
P2
46.2%
48.9%
P3
45.2%
46.7%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 09:33 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |