Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Thornton 54.3% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 68.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 58.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 69.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Malkin
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Malkin
Thornton
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
4
Malkin
Thornton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Malkin
Thornton
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,073)
53.5% (6,640)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.9% (643)
57.2% (1,387)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
56.7% (427)
-24.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,254).
Malkin shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Malkin
Thornton
Home
47.6% (5,385)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
44.0% (5,413)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Malkin
Thornton
P1
45.9%
55.0%
P2
46.2%
53.3%
P3
45.2%
54.4%
OT
49.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 3, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:04 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |