Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.6% vs 44.0%). Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Thornton 46.2% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 56.0%
Defensive zone
Thornton 58.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.8%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Malkin
Thornton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
43.5% (161)
+0.5%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
50.0% (14)
-20.0%
On power play, Thornton has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Malkin
Thornton
Home
45.5% (202)
41.5% (106)
Away
41.4% (174)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Malkin
Thornton
P1
48.4%
50.8%
P2
41.7%
41.0%
P3
40.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%