Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.7% vs Madden 49.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.7%
Defensive zone
Madden 88.2%
Neutral zone
Madden 64.4%
Result
John Madden favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Malkin
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Malkin
Madden
Last 8: Malkin 5-3 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Madden
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Madden
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
1
2
Malkin
Madden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (922)
49.6% (268)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.7% (262)
0.0% (5)
+52.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
57.1% (35)
-34.9%
On power play, Malkin has a +52.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Malkin shoots left. Madden is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Malkin
Madden
Home
52.4% (601)
52.3% (151)
Away
42.7% (609)
46.9% (162)
By Period
Malkin
Madden
P1
48.8%
54.9%
P2
50.6%
54.1%
P3
41.6%
40.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |