Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Madden 50.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 67.6%
Defensive zone
Madden 91.0%
Neutral zone
Madden 72.5%
Result
John Madden favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Malkin
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Malkin
Madden
Last 10: Malkin 6-4 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
0
Malkin
Madden
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Madden
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
1
3
Malkin
Madden
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,073)
51.2% (1,083)
-5.6%
Power Play
50.9% (643)
51.5% (33)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
47.6% (164)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Madden has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,254).
Malkin shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Malkin
Madden
Home
47.6% (5,385)
52.7% (678)
Away
44.0% (5,413)
48.5% (623)
By Period
Malkin
Madden
P1
45.9%
51.5%
P2
46.2%
52.5%
P3
45.2%
47.6%
OT
49.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |