Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drouin on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Malkin wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.3% vs Drouin 43.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Drouin leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Drouin 58.4%
Defensive zone
Drouin 56.4%
Neutral zone
Drouin 55.7%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Malkin
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Malkin
Drouin
Last 10: Malkin 3-7 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Drouin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
6
Malkin
Drouin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
8
Malkin
Drouin
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (1,028)
41.5% (869)
+2.1%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
47.9% (167)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.0% (15)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Drouin has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Malkin is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Malkin shoots left. Drouin is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Malkin
Drouin
Home
44.2% (489)
42.8% (502)
Away
43.3% (563)
42.3% (549)
By Period
Malkin
Drouin
P1
40.9%
44.0%
P2
42.2%
39.7%
P3
48.5%
44.4%
OT
40.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.7%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |