Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Drouin 45.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 59.5%
Defensive zone
Drouin 74.5%
Neutral zone
Drouin 64.0%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Malkin
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Malkin
Drouin
Last 5: Malkin 1-4 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
1
Malkin
Drouin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
2
Malkin
Drouin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Drouin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
45.1% (355)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
40.9% (22)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Drouin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Malkin
Drouin
Home
52.3% (438)
37.5% (160)
Away
46.2% (418)
49.5% (220)
By Period
Malkin
Drouin
P1
51.3%
40.3%
P2
50.8%
43.3%
P3
45.0%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |