Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Danforth 49.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.9%
Defensive zone
Danforth 66.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 64.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Malkin
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Malkin
Danforth
Last 9: Malkin 3-6 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
2
Malkin
Danforth
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Malkin
Danforth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
3
Malkin
Danforth
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
50.5% (546)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
50.0% (14)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.6% (101)
+56.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Malkin
Danforth
Home
47.5% (326)
51.1% (315)
Away
44.0% (307)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Malkin
Danforth
P1
49.3%
49.5%
P2
44.7%
51.4%
P3
42.3%
46.6%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |