Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Dach 37.3% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 90.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 59.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 78.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Malkin
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Malkin
Dach
Last 7: Malkin 5-2 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Dach
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Dach
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Dach
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
36.5% (1,423)
+9.1%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
35.7% (98)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
36.0% (25)
-3.8%
On power play, Malkin has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Malkin
Dach
Home
47.6% (5,395)
37.0% (857)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
35.8% (689)
By Period
Malkin
Dach
P1
45.9%
35.3%
P2
46.2%
34.5%
P3
45.2%
40.4%
OT
49.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |