Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Dach 43.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 66.0%
Defensive zone
Malkin 53.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Malkin
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Malkin
Dach
Last 5: Malkin 3-2 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
0
1
Malkin
Dach
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Dach
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
39.6% (217)
+5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
47.6% (21)
+2.4%
On even strength, Malkin has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Dach is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Malkin
Dach
Home
47.5% (326)
37.8% (127)
Away
44.0% (307)
43.2% (111)
By Period
Malkin
Dach
P1
49.3%
32.9%
P2
44.7%
36.3%
P3
42.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |