Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs MacLean 47.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 54.0%
Defensive zone
MacLean 81.5%
Neutral zone
MacLean 74.1%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Malkin
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Malkin
MacLean
Last 5: Malkin 4-1 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
MacLean
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
MacLean
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
MacLean
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
47.2% (849)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
62.5% (8)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
56.7% (30)
-24.5%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Home / Away
Malkin
MacLean
Home
47.6% (5,395)
46.9% (426)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
48.4% (461)
By Period
Malkin
MacLean
P1
45.9%
46.6%
P2
46.2%
49.7%
P3
45.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |