Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs MacLean 44.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 77.7%
Defensive zone
MacLean 50.3%
Neutral zone
MacLean 50.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Malkin
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Malkin
MacLean
Last 5: Malkin 4-1 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
MacLean
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
MacLean
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
MacLean
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
42.4% (238)
+5.5%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
75.0% (4)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
20.0% (5)
+80.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. MacLean is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Malkin
MacLean
Home
49.6% (405)
41.4% (128)
Away
47.5% (396)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Malkin
MacLean
P1
49.6%
49.3%
P2
47.2%
41.6%
P3
48.5%
37.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |