Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 32 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Eller 50.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 60-52 in 112 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 82.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 63.6%
Neutral zone
Malkin 61.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Malkin
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
60
(112 meetings)
52
60
Malkin
Eller
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
21
11
Malkin
Eller
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
12
22
Malkin
Eller
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
19
27
Malkin
Eller
46 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
51.1% (10,296)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
52.8% (621)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
46.7% (1,751)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Malkin
Eller
Home
47.6% (5,395)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Malkin
Eller
P1
45.9%
51.2%
P2
46.2%
50.1%
P3
45.2%
50.2%
OT
49.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |