Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Eller 51.9% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 64.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 93.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 90.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 78.6%
21.4%
78.6%
Malkin
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Malkin
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
52.8% (650)
-7.3%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
69.2% (13)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.5% (88)
+54.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Malkin
Eller
Home
47.5% (326)
52.6% (340)
Away
44.0% (307)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Malkin
Eller
P1
49.3%
52.4%
P2
44.7%
54.1%
P3
42.3%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |