Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Malkin wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.3% vs Eller 49.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 85.5%
Defensive zone
Malkin 59.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 72.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Malkin
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Malkin
Eller
Last 10: Malkin 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Malkin
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
4
Malkin
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (1,028)
50.1% (749)
-6.5%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
46.1% (76)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.6% (131)
-46.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Malkin is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Malkin shoots left. Eller is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Malkin
Eller
Home
44.2% (489)
51.4% (465)
Away
43.3% (563)
47.3% (491)
By Period
Malkin
Eller
P1
40.9%
47.9%
P2
42.2%
51.6%
P3
48.5%
47.7%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2018 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 2 | 16:19 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |