Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 50.3% vs Peca 52.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 57.9%
Defensive zone
Peca 73.5%
Neutral zone
Peca 67.4%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Malkin
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Malkin
Peca
Last 7: Malkin 6-1 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Peca
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
1
Malkin
Peca
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (774)
57.5% (73)
-7.0%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
0.0% (2)
+53.3%
Penalty Kill
10.0% (10)
25.0% (4)
-15.0%
On power play, Malkin has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Malkin is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Malkin shoots left. Peca is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Malkin
Peca
Home
49.1% (411)
72.2% (18)
Away
51.4% (465)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Malkin
Peca
P1
49.5%
62.1%
P2
54.7%
41.7%
P3
46.7%
57.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
50.3%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |