Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Peca 50.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 50.3%
Defensive zone
Peca 86.6%
Neutral zone
Peca 70.1%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Malkin
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Malkin
Peca
Last 10: Malkin 7-3 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Peca
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Peca
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
6
2
Malkin
Peca
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
51.5% (423)
-5.9%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
12.5% (8)
+37.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
44.2% (43)
-12.0%
On power play, Malkin has a +37.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Malkin
Peca
Home
47.6% (5,395)
46.1% (193)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
53.0% (281)
By Period
Malkin
Peca
P1
45.9%
56.6%
P2
46.2%
44.4%
P3
45.2%
50.3%
OT
49.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |