Evgeni Malkin vs Michael Sgarbossa
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.3%). Look for Sgarbossa on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Sgarbossa 45.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 69.1%
Defensive zone
Sgarbossa 68.1%
Neutral zone
Sgarbossa 50.9%
Result
Michael Sgarbossa favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Malkin
Sgarbossa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malkin
Sgarbossa
Last 5: Malkin 2-3 Sgarbossa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Sgarbossa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
1
2
Malkin
Sgarbossa
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
0
1
Malkin
Sgarbossa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Sgarbossa
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
45.1% (588)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
52.2% (23)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
40.0% (5)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Sgarbossa has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sgarbossa shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Sgarbossa is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Malkin
Sgarbossa
Home
47.6% (5,395)
42.5% (320)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
48.3% (296)
By Period
Malkin
Sgarbossa
P1
45.9%
45.0%
P2
46.2%
47.1%
P3
45.2%
43.9%
OT
49.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |