Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Thompson 52.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 26-24 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 75.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 60.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Malkin
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
26
(50 meetings)
24
26
Malkin
Thompson
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
15
1
Malkin
Thompson
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
18
Malkin
Thompson
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
7
Malkin
Thompson
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
54.1% (5,812)
-8.5%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
54.8% (135)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
47.9% (1,381)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Malkin
Thompson
Home
47.6% (5,395)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Malkin
Thompson
P1
45.9%
53.2%
P2
46.2%
52.9%
P3
45.2%
52.8%
OT
49.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |