Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Thompson 54.3% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 80.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 69.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 55.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Malkin
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Malkin
Thompson
Last 7: Malkin 3-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Malkin
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Malkin
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
55.5% (236)
-11.5%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
60.0% (5)
-30.0%
On power play, Thompson has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Malkin
Thompson
Home
45.5% (202)
53.1% (128)
Away
41.4% (174)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Malkin
Thompson
P1
48.4%
59.0%
P2
41.7%
55.4%
P3
40.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |