Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Bonino 50.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 23-10 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 91.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 57.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 74.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Malkin
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
23
(33 meetings)
10
23
Malkin
Bonino
Last 10: Malkin 2-8 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
7
2
Malkin
Bonino
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
16
Malkin
Bonino
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
5
Malkin
Bonino
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
50.6% (8,315)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
54.1% (972)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
44.6% (1,693)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bonino
Home
47.6% (5,395)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Malkin
Bonino
P1
45.9%
50.6%
P2
46.2%
48.5%
P3
45.2%
51.1%
OT
49.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |