Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Bonino 48.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 79.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 78.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 78.2%
21.8%
78.2%
Malkin
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Malkin
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Malkin
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
48.1% (324)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
57.9% (38)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.3% (88)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bonino
Home
52.3% (438)
52.0% (244)
Away
46.2% (418)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Malkin
Bonino
P1
51.3%
48.0%
P2
50.8%
42.9%
P3
45.0%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |