Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Malkin wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.5% vs Bonino 47.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 78.3%
Defensive zone
Malkin 59.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 63.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Malkin
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Malkin
Bonino
Last 6: Malkin 1-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
Malkin
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Malkin
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (733)
48.2% (926)
-5.1%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
48.6% (109)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
43.3% (210)
-26.6%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Malkin is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Malkin shoots left. Bonino is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bonino
Home
42.6% (338)
47.8% (653)
Away
42.7% (417)
47.0% (592)
By Period
Malkin
Bonino
P1
40.9%
45.9%
P2
45.3%
47.0%
P3
42.0%
49.4%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 08:59 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |