Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Hischier 54.9% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 68.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 62.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 54.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Malkin
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malkin
Hischier
Last 5: Malkin 2-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
3
Malkin
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
55.0% (1,107)
-9.3%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
63.1% (252)
-28.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hischier
Home
50.4% (113)
56.5% (763)
Away
39.4% (132)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Malkin
Hischier
P1
47.7%
56.0%
P2
44.9%
57.6%
P3
40.0%
53.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |