Scouting Report
Oskar Sundqvist holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.9%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 84.6%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 60.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Malkin
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Malkin
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Malkin
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
46.8% (301)
-1.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
80.0% (10)
-45.4%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +45.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Malkin
Sundqvist
Home
50.4% (113)
46.0% (189)
Away
39.4% (132)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Malkin
Sundqvist
P1
47.7%
44.7%
P2
44.9%
47.6%
P3
40.0%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |