Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.7%). Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Krebs 45.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 77.5%
Defensive zone
Krebs 72.0%
Neutral zone
Krebs 51.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Malkin
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Malkin
Krebs
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
3
Malkin
Krebs
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
3
Malkin
Krebs
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
2
Malkin
Krebs
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
46.0% (2,159)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
52.5% (99)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
38.6% (171)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Krebs has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Home / Away
Malkin
Krebs
Home
47.6% (5,395)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Malkin
Krebs
P1
45.9%
45.9%
P2
46.2%
46.4%
P3
45.2%
44.8%
OT
49.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:07 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |