Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Nash 48.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 87.9%
Defensive zone
Nash 54.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Malkin
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
Malkin
Nash
Last 10: Malkin 2-8 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
3
Malkin
Nash
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
2
9
Malkin
Nash
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
8
Malkin
Nash
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,073)
48.7% (4,621)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.9% (643)
51.0% (249)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
44.9% (550)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,544).
Malkin shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Malkin
Nash
Home
47.6% (5,385)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
44.0% (5,413)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Malkin
Nash
P1
45.9%
49.0%
P2
46.2%
47.9%
P3
45.2%
48.0%
OT
49.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
46.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Riley Nash |