Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Nash 51.7% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 90.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 53.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 71.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Malkin
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Malkin
Nash
Last 6: Malkin 1-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
4
Malkin
Nash
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
54.1% (292)
-10.1%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
57.1% (7)
-27.1%
On power play, Nash has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Malkin
Nash
Home
45.5% (202)
56.3% (183)
Away
41.4% (174)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Malkin
Nash
P1
48.4%
58.9%
P2
41.7%
51.0%
P3
40.4%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Riley Nash |