Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Abols on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Abols 53.1% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 90.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 69.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 76.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Malkin
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Malkin
Abols
Last 5: Malkin 0-5 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abols
0
2
Malkin
Abols
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abols
0
3
Malkin
Abols
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
53.7% (402)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
57.1% (7)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
57.1% (7)
-24.9%
On penalty kill, Abols has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Abols is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Malkin
Abols
Home
47.6% (5,395)
56.3% (215)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
51.2% (201)
By Period
Malkin
Abols
P1
45.9%
55.6%
P2
46.2%
47.3%
P3
45.2%
59.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |