Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Malkin wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Kesler 55.2% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 92.4%
Defensive zone
Malkin 73.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 84.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Malkin
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Malkin
Kesler
Last 9: Malkin 2-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
5
Malkin
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (807)
55.7% (741)
-9.5%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
67.0% (100)
-36.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (204)
-16.7%
On power play, Kesler has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Malkin is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Malkin shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kesler
Home
45.1% (450)
52.5% (522)
Away
46.4% (384)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Malkin
Kesler
P1
48.2%
56.7%
P2
43.5%
56.8%
P3
46.0%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
43.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:33 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |