Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 30 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Kesler 55.9% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 49-18 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 97.1%
Defensive zone
Malkin 92.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 97.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 95.6%
95.6%
4.4%
Malkin
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
49
(67 meetings)
18
49
Malkin
Kesler
Last 10: Malkin 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
8
8
Malkin
Kesler
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
18
Malkin
Kesler
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
7
23
Malkin
Kesler
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
56.4% (8,095)
-10.8%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
60.7% (1,437)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
50.5% (1,908)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kesler
Home
47.6% (5,395)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Malkin
Kesler
P1
45.9%
56.5%
P2
46.2%
55.9%
P3
45.2%
56.1%
OT
49.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:33 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |