Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs McLeod 48.4% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 75.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 69.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Malkin
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Malkin
McLeod
Last 6: Malkin 4-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
49.0% (500)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
43.8% (48)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.0% (50)
+6.0%
On power play, Malkin has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Malkin
McLeod
Home
52.3% (438)
50.9% (291)
Away
46.2% (418)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Malkin
McLeod
P1
51.3%
44.3%
P2
50.8%
52.4%
P3
45.0%
47.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |