Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Malkin wins 39.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.9% vs Reinhart 43.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 67.7%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 56.1%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 58.7%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Malkin
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Malkin
Reinhart
Last 7: Malkin 4-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
3
Malkin
Reinhart
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (827)
39.6% (192)
+3.1%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
55.6% (18)
+7.6%
On power play, Malkin has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Malkin is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Malkin shoots left. Reinhart is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Malkin
Reinhart
Home
45.1% (426)
38.5% (109)
Away
41.2% (420)
43.6% (101)
By Period
Malkin
Reinhart
P1
41.3%
32.9%
P2
44.0%
48.5%
P3
44.7%
42.4%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |